It’s surely exciting to bet on your favorite team when you know they’re going to get a glorious victory. But what if you evaluate a certain upcoming match and see that a tie is likely? Have you ever tried drawing wagering? Many bettors neglect this option without any good reason.
Meanwhile, draw bet betting is a great way to turn the event upside down. While you may not believe it, ties happen quite often. Not only that, draws also tend to have pretty good odds. In this sense, tie wagering is an inviting way to stay engaged with the match and bet in a slightly more revolutionary way. And with Parimatch, you have a wealth of opportunities to give this strategy a go. In some sports, such as football, draws are widespread; in some, such as boxing or basketball, they are rare. However, Parimatch makes it possible to place a tie wager on a number of sports and sporting events around the world.
Unlike Draw No Bet wagers, draw bets imply a tie bet, while Draw No Bet excludes a tie from your wager. If you want to learn more about wagers that exclude a tie, you should read our article about Draw No Bet explained, Draw No Bet odds, and strategies for wagering. But how do you go about tie-wagering? What’s the theory behind the strategy, and how do you place such bets on the Parimatch platform? What are the pros and cons of draw wagering, and what are the top bet draw tips for ensuring the most success when wagering on draws? Don’t worry, all your questions will be answered in this handy guide. The Parimatch expert betting team has put together this walk-through to give you a rundown on the meaning of tie wagering and why you should be giving it a go.
Contents
What Is Draw Betting?
The draw betting market is when a punter places a bet on an outcome when the game ends with a tie. It is not the most popular form of wagering because most people think that draws don’t happen that frequently and that they are down to luck. This is not exactly true, and it varies depending on which sport you are wagering on and which teams are playing each other.
Let’s take football, for example. In the last 10 years, 25% of Premier League games have resulted in a draw. This is a pretty high statistic to ignore and notably skews the odds when you bet on 1X2 wagers. The fact that a draw happens in one-quarter of all games gives you a pretty good chance of getting it right.
The thing about draw wagering is that you need to understand how a draw would affect the overall outcome of a team’s season or at least the match they are playing. If you begin to recognize some of the key features of games that end in draws, you are far more likely to predict a draw correctly. Teams that are fighting to stay right at the top of the league or are battling against relegation play differently. If a team is trying to overtake its rival, the match will be a very different event than a team playing a friendly with players who used to be on their side. If a team is happy with a draw, the aggressive offense will be missing. If two evenly skilled teams are pitched against each other, a draw is far more likely than a distinct favorite and underdog.
In fact, you may even find that sometimes the draw is the favorite result. This is especially frequent when it comes to European football leagues such as the French Ligue 2 or Italian Series B. Sometimes with lower-end soccer teams, the team wins even if they will have one point, so a draw would be most convenient rather than having to struggle for a win. When this happens, you’ll see the draw as the favorite result as it suits both teams.
Betting on a draw can be a great strategy if you know what you are doing. If you are able to recognize the telltale signs of a potential draw before it happens, you have the chance of winning a decent profit from the high odds of ties.
Luckily, thanks to the diversity and accessibility of the Parimatch sports betting platform, you can place pre-match, live, and virtual draw bets. This means you can use statistics and history to place a pre-match bet on the possibility of a tie based on both teams’ prior gameplay and historical tactics. You can watch the in-play action of a team and make a late tie wager by placing a bet live. Alternatively, perhaps you bet on draws for a quick win on virtual sports. Either way, draw wagering is an exciting strategy with the possibility of high payouts.
Best Draw Betting Strategies
As with all types of wagering, there are certain strategies that work best to make the most of your bet. Draw wagering is no exception. Ironing out your strategy will increase your chances of a tie bet paying off, as you are more likely to put a sensible wager on the table. If you would like to place a tie bet on the Parimatch sports application, why not try one of these strategies outlined by our wagering experts.
Bend on Motivation
One of the biggest mistakes you can make when you are looking for a potential tie bet is to presume that similarly ranked teams will draw because they have equal skill. What comes into play here is an old adage “It’s not the size of the dog in the fight, but the size of the fight in the dog”. Teams that are close to each other in the league tables are likely to battle each other harder as they want to overtake the team above them (or keep their spot). Instead, you want to look for teams that would both benefit from a draw.
Let’s take the Premier League, for example. Imagine a moment when Arsenal and Newcastle both have the same number of points in the league. While this is especially good for Newcastle, this is not good news for Arsenal, who is used to being in the top five. A draw in this scenario would not give either Arsenal or Newcastle wagering standing in the league rankings.
Fewer Goals, Better Chance
If you are considering wagering on draws, it may seem tempting to pick games where teams keep scoring back and forth. While equally as offensive sides keep knocking goals back, this might seem like an opportunity for a draw to happen. This isn’t the case. Stats show that draws are far more likely to happen when there are fewer goals. While, of course, there are final scorelines that show 3-3 and 4-4, you are far more likely to end on 1-1 or 2-2. In this sense, if you are watching a match where two teams appear to be in a stalemate, with heavy defense and low numbers of goals, this is a better tie bet than a high-scoring game.
Consecutive Draws
This strategy looks at consecutive draws and is often referred to as “Stacked on Draws”. This means that a team has got more than one tie in a row. While this may seem like a flukey happenstance, consecutive draws actually tell you something about the team’s performance and mindset, as well as the manager’s strategy. Often a team or manager will be happy with only getting one point and will therefore accept a draw result. If you see a team that seems to consistently finish on a draw result, there’s a good chance this is strategic, and they will do it again. This makes this a good punt to take.
Past Results
While not all bettors feel that stats and historical gameplay affect results, this couldn’t be further from the truth when it comes to draws. When you study past results, you will see that there are several pairings where two teams frequently finish on a draw. Most recently, you could use the example of Wolves and Manchester United. Over the 2020 season, most matches have been a draw, with Man U narrowly beating Wolves in the last match after a Wolves goal was disallowed by VAR. In this sense, this pairing would be a great tie bet as they seem to work to equal footing and consistently finish with a tied result.
The Progressive Draw Betting Strategy
The progressive draw wagering strategy is one of the most popular draw wagering methods and is often alluded to on professional gambling websites and in international competitions. It is important to understand that while you have the chance to win big using this draw-wagering strategy, it can also blow up in your face! Quite a risky way of wagering; if you don’t watch how much you spend, you could end up busting your whole wagering bank.
The idea behind this wagering strategy is to raise your draw if your bet loses. Using this scheme, bettors place wagers on consecutive draws. Say you bet 300 TZS on the first draw, if the match doesn’t end in the draw, you lose your 300 TZS stake. To combat this, on the next match, you would stake 450 TZS on a draw. If this wins, you not only win the bet, but you also cover the losses from the previous wager. If, however, you lose this bet, you place 675 TZS on the next match to tie. For this to work, you need to find matches with similar odds on the draw (above 3.00 works well).
As you can see, while this has the potential to cover your losses eventually, your stake grows considerably rather rapidly.
What Are the Advantages and Disadvantages of Draw Betting Strategies?
Wagering on draws is a fun way to place alternative bets to the simple win-or-lose bet. Not only is draw more common than people realize, but these bets are also relatively profitable, with high odds available for those who pull it off. But what are the pros and cons of using the draw wagering strategies listed above?
Benefits of Draw Betting Strategies
- High odds
One of the best things about wagering on draws is that they usually have high odds but happen quite frequently. While ties are a regular occurrence, guessing the correct matches is the tricky bit, which is why the odds are so high. If you are able to make a sensible guess, however, you could end up with a bet that pays out quite highly.
- Doing your homework pays off
When you start to get your footing with draw wagering, you tend to get a better eye for the types of matches that may draw. With the strategies above, you are encouraged to do your homework and understand the historical stats of teams and their pairings. As ties aren’t that rare, especially in soccer (occurring 25% of the time), you can begin to predict them quite well if you have a handle on the behavior of certain pairings, the tournaments they are in, the motivation of managers, and the relationships between players.
- Progressive wagering is safer than Martingale
The Martingale system is also a progressive wagering system but it is far more aggressive and can result in higher losses. While the progressive draw betting system looks at adding an extra half of your stake each time, the Martingale system works by doubling your stake each time. While this has the potential to result in extremely high winnings, this is also very risky and can lead to big losses.
- Draw wagering strategies work well for soccer
If you are a big soccer fan and you like to place bets on the sport, you are in luck. Football is a great sport for betting on ties as they happen quite frequently. As noted above, the Premier League has had ties 25% of the time in the last 10 years. In this sense, you have a relatively good chance of winning a tie bet if you can accurately calculate the pairings most likely to end on a draw.
Drawbacks of Draw Betting Strategies
- Not all competitions count draws
You aren’t always able to bet on a tied result as many cups and competitions don’t allow a draw to occur. This is because teams or players have to be knocked out in each round. Often on these occasions, the game will head to extra time or penalties.
- Draw wagering doesn’t work in every sport
Draws aren’t created equally across sports. While, yes, the Premier League has a track record of one in four games drawing, this isn’t the same for other sports. Take the NFL, for example. It is possible to draw in the NFL, and it used to be quite common. That said, in 1974, the NFL introduced sudden-death overtime, which has significantly reduced the number of tied outcomes, now making draws quite rare. Baseball is equally as rare due to the practice of extra innings, which gives the teams extra time to score points.
- What happens on the day may change everything
While it is a good idea to look at the historical gameplay of pairings in order to try and decipher which teams are most likely to draw, consecutive draws are not conclusive. Just because two teams have tied on a frequent basis before doesn’t ensure they will tie again. This is especially true if it is the start of a new season, as managers may play new players or introduce different strategies.
What are Alternative Strategies to Bets on Draws?
If you fancy the idea of wagering on draws, but you are a little too nervous about taking the plunge completely, there are a few alternative bets that you can place that have the same feel to them.
Double Chance Betting
With this type of bet, you bet on two outcomes at the same time. Imagine there’s an upcoming match between Wolverhampton and Aston Villa. Below you can see their 1×2 odds and double chance odds.
While the odds get lower in a double chance option, the possibility of including two outcomes in one bet makes it way less risky. If you are a cautious bettor, this might be a good approach for you.
Betting on Draw in 1st Half
When it comes to football, it is often referred to as a game of two halves. This is because teams tend to play differently from the first half of the game to the second half of the football match. You will see this reflected in the goal scoring, with fewer goals scored in the first half than in the second. This is because teams tend to be more conservative in the first half.
But why is this if both teams want to win? While you may imagine that both teams want to score the first goal, it is actually more the case that neither team wants to concede the first goal as they will need to chase the opposing team for the rest of the game. In this sense, both teams tend to be far more defensive in the first half of a match. In this respect, if you want to bet on a draw for half of a game, you are often better off betting on a draw in the first half of a match.
Live Betting on 2nd Half Draws
It is true that fewer goals are scored in the first half, which can make it more likely for a draw to occur. For pre-match betting, this is generally the rule you want to follow.
However, for those who like a flutter on live bets, you can generally determine a draw better from watching a football match. You can watch over the first half and get a feel for how the two teams are playing each other. Games with very little action are more likely to finish the second half on a draw. Games without rivalries or a strong motivation to win will also likely finish the second half on a draw. In this vein, for those who are into live betting, wagering against the second half enables you to get a feel for the on-the-day action and read the game better.
How to Predict Draws in Football Matches
If you fancy placing bets on a soccer match that will end in a draw, you need to know the indications of a draw before they happen. Luckily, with draws occurring 25% of the time, you have a large body of statistics to work with. Once you get a sense of the types of things that make a draw likely to happen, you will be far more qualified to pick a good match for a draw and place draw bets.
Here are a few key pointers on what you should be looking for to predict a draw in a football match.
- Low-scoring matches are more likely to tie
There are final scorelines that have high-scoring ties, but these tend to be very rare. When we consider the frequency of soccer results, especially in English soccer league games, it is highly unlikely that a draw will occur with lots of goals being slammed into the net. In fact, when we look at the stats in English soccer from 1988 to 2015, draws certainly happen more often in lower-scoring games. The draw statistics look like this:
- 0-0 occurs in 7.2% of matches
- 1-1 occurs in 11.6% of matches
- 2-2 occurs in 5.2% of matches
- 3-3 occurs in 1.1% of matches
- 4-4 occurs in 0.2% of matches
- 5-5 occurs in less than 0.1% of matches
- 6-6 occurs in less than 0.1% of matches
Looking at these figures, it is clear to see that 1-1 is the most common draw by far in soccer matches, and draws tend to tail off above 2-2. In this sense, if a team has scored over two goals or is expected to score more than two goals, betting on a draw is not a good idea.
- Go for mid-table teams
While it doesn’t make sense to pick teams that are vying to usurp each other in the league, mid-table teams are far more likely to draw than those at the top or bottom. Bottom league teams don’t tend to have the skill to score against the teams higher than them, while top league teams tend to run rings around teams lower than them. Mid-table teams, however, are often able to defend relatively well and attack fairly and can therefore recuperate a goal to bring the result to a draw but might not be able to score more.
- Look for teams where a draw will do
In some circumstances, teams will feel fine about simply getting one point as this keeps them afloat at the table. If there is no team below them hot on their tail, getting the point can often keep a team in good stead. Look for teams where there are a few points difference between them and the team ranking just below them. Equally, however, these teams need to be more than 3 points below the team ahead of them. In this case, a win won’t put the team up in the league. Finding pairings where both teams are in this position means that both teams would be strategically happy with a draw.
- Pick teams of similar quality
Two teams that are of equal skill levels are far more likely to end soccer matches in a draw. Wolves and Man U are great examples of this. You will notice when you watch their games that both of their offenses and defenses are of similar quality, often leading to a stalemate in the game. Remember, this can be a little bit of a red herring, though, as you don’t want to pick teams that are in competition with each other as they will both have the motivation to win, which will cancel out the chance of a draw.
Can You Profit from Draw Betting?
Draw betting can be a very profitable type of bet if placed in the right sport. As noted above, draw betting in sports like baseball, ice hockey, and handball are likely not profitable wagers to place as tied outcomes are very rare.
However, when you consider soccer, ties are very common. While noted above that the Premier League tends to have ties 25% of the time, this is also true for other countries’ top leagues as well. The Bundesliga in Germany, Ligue 1 in France, La Liga in Spain, and Series A in Italy all tend to experience tied results 25% of the time. This means that statistically, over time, a draw happens in one in four matches.
In this sense, there is money to be made from draw betting. The rate of success all comes down to picking the right matches. If you choose games where a draw is likely, due to evenly matched teams, a strategic one-pointer, mid-table teams, and so on, you are more likely to be successful with draw betting.
In terms of profit, draw betting tends to have far higher odds than the odds for either team to win. In this respect, if you guess your tie wager correctly, you can end up with extremely profitable results. Equally, as noted above, incorporating potential draw outcomes into your system bets can help to drive your overall profits up further by multiplying the high draw odds with the lower win/lose odds.
How to Place a Draw Wager on Parimatch
The Parimatch sports betting platform is designed to be the easiest sports betting app in Africa. Designed with our users in mind, we have created a fluid and intuitive betting dashboard that makes it super simple to place all kinds of bets straight from your smart device. Here’s what you need to do
- Sign in to Parimatch;
- Select pre-match, live, or virtual sports bets;
- Choose the sport you want to bet on;
- Click on the country in which the match is played;
- Choose the tournament or league;
- Select the game;
- Find the 1X2 betting option and select “draw” (“X”);
- Finalize your bet in the betslip.
What Are the Other Types of Bets You Can Place?
Parimatch has a large variety of bet types (markets) you can make use of. They depend on the type of sport, but usually, the following bet types are available:
- Moneyline (to win) bets
- 1×2 bets (3-way bets)
- Double chance bet market
- Handicap bets
- Total (over/under) bets
- Correct score bets
- Odd/even bets
- Half-time/full-time bets
- Draw no bet market
- Both teams to score bets
- Asian handicap bets
To Sum Up Draw Betting
Betting on draws has the potential to be an extremely profitable way of placing a wager. This is because the odds on bets are far higher than the odds of a win either way. It is important to select the right sport to place a tie wager on, though, as some sports rarely have tied outcomes. Sports like basketball, ice hockey, and baseball have all implemented measures to help reduce the likelihood of a draw. In this sense, these sports aren’t great for placing draw bets.
Football, on the other hand, is the ideal sport for placing a tie bet. All the top European soccer leagues have a 25% probability of a draw happening, according to statistics from the last decade. With draws happening quite frequently, this means your chances of winning a high-odds tie wager are quite high. The trick is to pick games where a draw has a high potential. This means steering clear of matches where both teams are likely to score high and games where one or both teams really need a win. It is also worth studying the historical gameplay of pairings to find teams that have consecutive draws from the previous times they have faced each other.
If you are considering placing bets on draw results, head over to the Parimatch app today. Our sports betting application is one of the fastest and most reliable ways to place draw bets directly from your smart device. With just a few clicks, you can place single and parlay draw bets with competitive odds across a whole range of sports and competitions. Also, Parimatch carries out many promotions, so you can earn bet credits or bonus money and use bet credits stake to place free bets.
FAQ
What is draw in betting?
A draw in betting means that the sporting match or game you bet on ends in a draw. This means that neither team wins, each remaining with an equal score. For example, team A will have a score of 2 and so will team B.
What is a draw in soccer betting?
A draw in soccer betting simply means that a game ends in a draw. This means that no team wins over the other, warranting a full refund of your bet. But, you also don’t win any profits. After all, you don’t win or lose in a draw match.
What is draw draw in football?
A draw draw in football is when a sporting game or match ends with no team winning or losing. In this case, each team will score zero to at least a goal. However, they all end with an equal score at the end of the game.